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EXO:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMEXOR N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time

$0.36

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Exousia Bio’s share price has slipped from its recent support around $0.44 to $0.36, leaving the 20‑day SMA (≈$0.44) as a key technical barrier. The RSI sits near 68, signaling an overbought condition, while the MACD has turned bearish with a negative histogram, suggesting downward momentum. Volatility is elevated at roughly 57% over the past month and beta is effectively zero, indicating the stock moves independently of broader market swings. A historic max drawdown of about 66% underscores the price’s susceptibility to sharp declines.
Fundamentally, the company reports no revenue, a negative EBITDA of $‑280k, and a modest book value of $0.31 per share, resulting in a price‑to‑book ratio just above 1. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $0.015 is dramatically lower than the current market price, highlighting a substantial overvaluation. With zero cash on hand, no dividend, and a sector label of Consumer Defensive that belies its biotech reality, the firm faces high regulatory and execution risk, compounded by thin trading volumes that raise liquidity concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • price below key SMA20 support
  • bearish MACD crossover
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • absence of revenue and negative earnings
  • large historical drawdown
  • significant regulatory uncertainty for biotech products

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • proprietary exosome platform with high upside potential
  • beta near zero indicating low market correlation
  • potential catalyst from future clinical or partnership announcements

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

ROE-0.73%
ROA-1.61%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$85.6K

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.7
Support$0.44
Resistance$0.44
MA 20$0.44
MA 50$0.42
MA 200$0.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.71

Valuation

Fair Value$0.01
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.00
Volatility56.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.