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EXO:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMEXOR N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

€69.85

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Exor (EXO.AS) trades at €69.85, essentially matching its DCF‑derived fair value of €69.95, delivering a compelling undervalued appearance given a price‑to‑book of 0.39 and an analyst consensus upside of roughly 63% toward a median target of €115. The stock also offers a modest 0.7% dividend yield with an ultra‑low payout ratio (~0.7%), suggesting the dividend is sustainable despite negative free cash flow. However, the market price sits below both the 20‑day (€72.18) and 50‑day (€71.76) simple moving averages, the MACD is in a bearish configuration, and volume trends are decreasing, indicating short‑term pressure. With a 30‑day volatility of 26% and a low beta of 0.34, the equity is relatively volatile but less correlated to broader market moves.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside to analyst target
  • Low price‑to‑book and fair‑value alignment
  • Sustainable dividend despite cash flow constraints

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified holdings across automotive, machinery and media
  • Potential recovery in industrial cycles
  • Strong balance‑sheet assets offsetting high debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-20.0
ROE-1.74%
ROA-0.55%
Debt/Equity9.74
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow€2.6B
Free Cash Flow€-238250000
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support€69.00
Resistance€75.30
MA 20€72.18
MA 50€71.76
MA 200€78.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.25

Valuation

Fair Value€69.95
Target Price€114.00
Upside/Downside63.21%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Volatility26.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.